SimpleFunctions

GLYPH · KXDOTA2GAME-26MAY290510GLYTY

GLYPH is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXDOTA2GAME-26MAY290510GLYTY.

Price history

23¢ current

+5¢
0¢10¢20¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If GLYPH wins BLAST Slam 2026: GLYPH vs. Team Yandex Dota 2 match originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

GLYPH

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Team Yandex 74¢

Range

21¢-74¢

Family volume

$8

Identifier

KXDOTA2GAME-26MAY290510GLYTY-GLY

May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

23¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

20¢

Ask

23¢

Spread

24h volume

$8

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXDOTA2GAME-26MAY290510GLYTY

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$8

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 23¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
20¢500
19¢1.5K
18¢500
17¢301
7¢206
AskSize
23¢661
25¢500
26¢500
63¢2.0K
64¢515

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If GLYPH wins BLAST Slam 2026: GLYPH vs. Team Yandex Dota 2 match originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXDOTA2GAME-26MAY290510GLYTY-GLY

SF Signal
SF Index
9388.04
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXDOTA2GAME-26MAY290510GLYTY.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$8

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Team Yandex 74¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

9388.0%

IY (No)

663.4%

Adj IY

9388%

CRI

4

RV

8315%

VR

2.59

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

9388.0%
663.4%
Adj IY
9388%
4
RV
8315%
VR
2.59
IAR
0.7/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.