December 31, 2026 · Will GMGN launch a token by ___
December 31, 2026 is priced at 10¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Will GMGN launch a token by ___ ?.
Price history
10¢ current
−9¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if GMGN (https://gmgn.ai/app) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from GMGN, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Outcome
December 31, 2026
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
December 31, 2027 61¢
Range
10¢-61¢
Family volume
$20K
Identifier
0x7c766e85...9b99
May 28, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$13K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Will GMGN launch a token by ___ ?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$20K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if GMGN (https://gmgn.ai/app) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from GMGN, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
0x7c766e85…9b99
Event family
Will GMGN launch a token by ___ .
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$20K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
December 31, 2027 61¢
Current share
64%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
unknown
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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