Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026 is priced at 7¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
7¢ current
−5¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grok AI officially defeats T1 in any exhibition/competitive match of League of Legends played in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no match takes place between T1 and Grok AI or no winner can be determined for any reason by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from T1, X, Riot Games (if involved); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$21K
Identifier
0x1c4520bf...0633
May 27, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$6K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$21K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grok AI officially defeats T1 in any exhibition/competitive match of League of Legends played in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no match takes place between T1 and Grok AI or no winner can be determined for any reason by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from T1, X, Riot Games (if involved); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x1c4520bf…0633
Event family
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? .
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$21K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026 7¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.