SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 11, 2026

Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

This contract is priced at 1¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

1¢
$6K volume
$7K liquidity
13% of event volume

Event outcomes

10

Family volume

$44K

Best sibling

Melisa Hortman 0¢

Ticker

0x9340c7ff…43b9

Market snapshot

Ilhan Omar in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. The cached market record reports reported volume of $6K. In the Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #4 of 10 by current quote across 10 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:57 AM UTC.

Outcome

Ilhan Omar

Family rank

#4 of 10

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Bid/ask midpoint

Timing

Listed until Aug 11, 2026

Reported volume

$6K

Family context

10 outcomes · Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Quote range

0¢-83¢

Family leader

Peggy Flanagan 83¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:57 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: 0x9340c7ff30ef563b6ed07ff4d45982157b930f3b068ca5d6bb1a07d5c91d43b9. Family volume: $44K.

Price history

1¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
0¢4.5K
0¢1.3K
AskSize
2¢58
2¢45
2¢75
2¢6
2¢27
100¢15
100¢508
100¢163

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 11, 2026

Identifier

0x9340c7ff…43b9

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at .

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

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