Imperium Europa to win Malta Parliamentary Election
Imperium Europa is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside Malta Parliamentary Election Winner.
Price history
0¢ current
Contract brief
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of. This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Outcome
Imperium Europa
Rank
#3 of 6
Leader
Labour Party 93¢
Range
0¢-93¢
Family volume
$281K
Identifier
0x975005fd...6fb8
May 28, 2026, 6:47 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#3 of 6
6 outcomes · Malta Parliamentary Election Winner
Closes
May 30, 2026
Family volume
$281K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of. This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 30, 2026
Identifier
0x975005fd…6fb8
Event family
Malta Parliamentary Election Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$281K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Labour Party 93¢
Current share
1%
Labour Party
polymarket · 0x0646da8bcb4358bbd2f1f0e85f236ad8ea1091a0eeb4a8db78cd036fbc3c8dd7
Nationalist Party
polymarket · 0xa736a3d3de247f00d620a67e2a97f08ae0d4b6de03a35b050e076d21c1db0224
Momentum
polymarket · 0xf93de4fca3716afc4b4a3f9788b6ff442a10ddaf45aa445721d9b417fcf3f62d
Imperium Europa
polymarket · 0x975005fd7c50d9b675d25dbf7e3d42b6e41a115789666acc4e0d639703596fb8
Aħwa Maltin
polymarket · 0x09d9997edab10ccd9ad034e00cb7397a662c6d33a3ebc013bd7f313515266be4
AD+PD
polymarket · 0xd1d6fb18c06abff0306c5e57bd9d8b54aa5a917a12a283aa3bfba2bae2a2925f
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.