Inflation in Brazil above 4.30% in May 2026
Above 4.30% is priced at 91¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 76¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 11 inside Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.
Price history
91¢ current
Contract brief
If the annual inflation rate in Brazil is above 4.30% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 4.30%
Rank
#5 of 11
Leader
Above 4.50% 70¢
Range
3¢-70¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXBRAZILINF-26MAY-T4.30
Jun 6, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
22¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
76¢
Reported volume
$5
Family rank
#5 of 11
11 outcomes · Will inflation in Brazil be above 4
Closes
Jun 10, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
22 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the annual inflation rate in Brazil is above 4.30% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 10, 2026
Identifier
KXBRAZILINF-26MAY-T4.30
Event family
Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Above 4.50% 70¢
Current share
0%
Above 4.50%
kalshi · KXBRAZILINF-26MAY-T4.50
Above 4.10%
kalshi · KXBRAZILINF-26MAY-T4.10
Above 4.60%
kalshi · KXBRAZILINF-26MAY-T4.60
Above 4.15%
kalshi · KXBRAZILINF-26MAY-T4.15
Above 4.30%
kalshi · KXBRAZILINF-26MAY-T4.30
Above 4.20%
kalshi · KXBRAZILINF-26MAY-T4.20
Above 4.25%
kalshi · KXBRAZILINF-26MAY-T4.25
Above 4.35%
kalshi · KXBRAZILINF-26MAY-T4.35
Above 4.40%
kalshi · KXBRAZILINF-26MAY-T4.40
Above 4.45%
kalshi · KXBRAZILINF-26MAY-T4.45
Above 4.55%
kalshi · KXBRAZILINF-26MAY-T4.55
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.