SimpleFunctions

Jacksonville State · KXNCAABBREG-26HATT

Jacksonville State is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside KXNCAABBREG-26HATT.

Price history

27¢ current

+2¢
25¢30¢
May 26, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Jacksonville State is the 2026 College Baseball Hattiesburg Regional champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jacksonville State

Rank

#2 of 4

Leader

Southern Miss 50¢

Range

4¢-50¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXNCAABBREG-26HATT-JAG

May 28, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 17m ago

Implied probability

27¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 17m ago

Bid

26¢

Ask

27¢

Spread

24h volume

$708

Family rank

#2 of 4

4 outcomes · KXNCAABBREG-26HATT

Closes

Jun 16, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

26 / 27¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
26¢2.6K
25¢685
24¢1.2K
10¢13
9¢1.0K
AskSize
27¢106
28¢500
29¢870
49¢100
76¢1.8K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jacksonville State is the 2026 College Baseball Hattiesburg Regional champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 16, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAABBREG-26HATT-JAG

SF Signal
SF Index
5445.26
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNCAABBREG-26HATT.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Southern Miss 50¢

Current share

25%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5445.3%

IY (No)

672.2%

Adj IY

5445%

CRI

3

RV

2142%

VR

2.79

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5445.3%
672.2%
Adj IY
5445%
3
RV
2142%
VR
2.79
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.