Will Janice STFU be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jun 6, 2026: Janice STFU · KXTOPSONG-26JUN06
Will Janice STFU be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jun 6, 2026: Janice STFU is priced at 67¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 68¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXTOPSONG-26JUN06.
Price history
67¢ current
+65¢Contract brief
If Janice STFU is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Janice STFU be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jun 6, 2026: Janice STFU
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Will Janice STFU be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jun 6, 2026: Janice STFU 68¢
Range
1¢-68¢
Family volume
$28K
Identifier
KXTOPSONG-26JUN06-JAN
May 28, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
68¢
Ask
72¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$12K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTOPSONG-26JUN06
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Family volume
$28K
Orderbook snapshot
68 / 72¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Janice STFU is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTOPSONG-26JUN06-JAN
Event family
KXTOPSONG-26JUN06.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$28K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Will Janice STFU be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jun 6, 2026: Janice STFU 68¢
Current share
42%
Will Janice STFU be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jun 6, 2026: Janice STFU
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Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 67% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.