SimpleFunctions

Jelena Ostapenko to win the Ostapenko vs Seidel

Will Jelena Ostapenko win the Ostapenko vs Seidel: Round Of 128 match is priced at 80¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 79¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

80¢ current

+4¢
75¢80¢
May 22, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Jelena Ostapenko wins the Ostapenko vs Seidel professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will Jelena Ostapenko win the Ostapenko vs Seidel: Round Of 128 match

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$6K

Identifier

KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25OSTSEI-OST

May 25, 2026, 9:22 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

80¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 9:22 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

79¢

Ask

81¢

Spread

24h volume

$5K

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jun 8, 2026

Family volume

$6K

Orderbook snapshot

79 / 81¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
79¢1.7K
78¢6.4K
77¢14K
76¢5.8K
72¢1.1K
AskSize
81¢16K
82¢18K
83¢12K
84¢5.0K
85¢33

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jelena Ostapenko wins the Ostapenko vs Seidel professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 8, 2026

Identifier

KXWTAMATCH-26MAY25OSTSEI-OST

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$6K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Jelena Ostapenko win the Ostapenko vs Seidel: Round Of 128 match 80¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.