SimpleFunctions

Josh Hart · KXNBAPLAYOFF3D-26

Josh Hart is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside KXNBAPLAYOFF3D-26.

Price history

19¢ current

+14¢
0¢10¢20¢
Apr 29, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Josh Hart records at least 1 triple-double in any playoff game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Josh Hart

Rank

#3 of 7

Leader

Jalen Williams 19¢

Range

2¢-19¢

Family volume

$490

Identifier

KXNBAPLAYOFF3D-26-JOHAR

May 28, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

19¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

14¢

Spread

24h volume

$99

Family rank

#3 of 7

7 outcomes · KXNBAPLAYOFF3D-26

Closes

Jul 7, 2026

Family volume

$490

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 14¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢188
12¢33
7¢5
3¢184
2¢499
AskSize
14¢6
19¢100
20¢3.0K
21¢1.1K
22¢2.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Josh Hart records at least 1 triple-double in any playoff game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 7, 2026

Identifier

KXNBAPLAYOFF3D-26-JOHAR

SF Signal
SF Index
9208.43
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

9208.4%

IY (No)

90.1%

Adj IY

9208%

CRI

10

RV

12027%

VR

9.86

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

9208.4%
90.1%
Adj IY
9208%
10
RV
12027%
VR
9.86
IAR
3.2/h
Overround
-0.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.