SimpleFunctions

Justin Bieber have above 480,237,120 Streams on Luminate from May 22 - May 28, 2026

Target Streams: 480,237,120 is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

5¢ current

87¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 26, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Justin Bieber has above 480,237,120 Worldwide Streams during the May 22 - May 28, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Target Streams: 480,237,120

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$7

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSU-BIEBS26MAY28-480.2M

May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

5¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$7

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

May 30, 2026

Family volume

$7

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 5¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
4¢5
AskSize
10¢313
14¢3
93¢28
94¢34

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Justin Bieber has above 480,237,120 Worldwide Streams during the May 22 - May 28, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 30, 2026

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSU-BIEBS26MAY28-480.2M

SF Signal
SF Index
100000.00
Regime
taker

Event family

KXARTISTSTREAMSU-BIEBS26MAY28.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$7

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Target Streams: 480,237,120 4¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

24

VR

17.14

IAR

1.0/h

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

24
VR
17.14
IAR
1.0/h

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.