SimpleFunctions

Kaden Honeycutt · KXNASCARTOP10-ALL26

Kaden Honeycutt is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 83¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 14 inside KXNASCARTOP10-ALL26.

Price history

1¢ current

1¢
0¢5¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Kaden Honeycutt finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Allegiance 200, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Kaden Honeycutt

Rank

#13 of 14

Leader

Andres Perez De Lara 93¢

Range

1¢-93¢

Family volume

$758

Identifier

KXNASCARTOP10-ALL26-KAHO

May 28, 2026, 8:45 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:45 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

84¢

Spread

83¢

24h volume

$23

Family rank

#13 of 14

14 outcomes · KXNASCARTOP10-ALL26

Closes

Jun 27, 2026

Family volume

$758

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 84¢

Kalshi
83¢ spread
BidSize
100¢93
AskSize
84¢5
85¢143
98¢189
99¢1

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kaden Honeycutt finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Allegiance 200, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 27, 2026

Identifier

KXNASCARTOP10-ALL26-KAHO

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.