Dallas · Will Keaton Wagler be drafted
Dallas is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside Will Keaton Wagler be drafted.
Price history
5¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Keaton Wagler is selected by Dallas in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Dallas
Rank
#9 of 16
Leader
Los Angeles C 36¢
Range
1¢-36¢
Family volume
$52
Identifier
KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-DAL
May 28, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
15¢
Reported volume
$604
Family rank
#9 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Keaton Wagler be drafted
Closes
Jul 2, 2026
Family volume
$52
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Keaton Wagler is selected by Dallas in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 2, 2026
Identifier
KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-DAL
Event family
Will Keaton Wagler be drafted.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$52
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Los Angeles C 36¢
Current share
0%
Los Angeles C
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-LAC
Boston
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-BOS
Denver
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-DEN
Detroit
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-DET
Houston
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-HOU
Indiana
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-IND
Atlanta
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-ATL
Brooklyn
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-BKN
Dallas
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-DAL
Chicago
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-CHI
Cleveland
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-CLE
Los Angeles L
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-LAL
Charlotte
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-CHA
Golden State
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-GSW
Memphis
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-MEM
Miami
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26KWAG-MIA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.