Keisha Lance Bottoms receive between 55% and 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary
55% - 60% is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 96¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive.
Price history
96¢ current
+84¢Contract brief
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary is 55% to 59.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
55% - 60%
Rank
#1 of 8
Leader
55% - 60% 96¢
Range
1¢-96¢
Family volume
$316
Identifier
KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-57
May 24, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
96¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$793
Family rank
#1 of 8
8 outcomes · Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive
Closes
May 19, 2027
Family volume
$316
Orderbook snapshot
96 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary is 55% to 59.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 19, 2027
Identifier
KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-57
Event family
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$316
Outcomes
8
Highest price
55% - 60% 96¢
Current share
0%
55% - 60%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-57
At least 60%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-80
50% - 55%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-52
Below 30%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-15
30% - 35%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-32
35% - 40%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-37
40% - 45%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-42
45% - 50%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVGANOMD26KLBKBOT-47
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 96% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.