Luis Felipe Dias · KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30LEEDIA
Luis Felipe Dias is priced at 60¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 59¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30LEEDIA.
Price history
60¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If Luis Felipe Dias wins the Lee vs Dias professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Luis Felipe Dias
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Luis Felipe Dias 59¢
Range
40¢-59¢
Family volume
$428
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30LEEDIA-DIA
May 26, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
59¢
Ask
60¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$220
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30LEEDIA
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Family volume
$428
Orderbook snapshot
59 / 60¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Luis Felipe Dias wins the Lee vs Dias professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30LEEDIA-DIA
Event family
KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30LEEDIA.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$428
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Luis Felipe Dias 59¢
Current share
51%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.