Will Magnus Carlsen win the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for June 2nd, 2026 at 11:00am EDT
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for June 2nd, 2026 at 11:00am EDT is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
10¢ current
Contract brief
If Magnus Carlsen wins the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for June 2nd, 2026 at 11:00am EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for June 2nd, 2026 at 11:00am EDT
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$9
Identifier
KXTITLEDTUESDAY-26JUN02-MCAR
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$9
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Family volume
$9
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Magnus Carlsen wins the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for June 2nd, 2026 at 11:00am EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Identifier
KXTITLEDTUESDAY-26JUN02-MCAR
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for June 2nd, 2026 at 11:00am EDT 10¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.