Max Verstappen · KXF1TOP5-MONGP26
Max Verstappen is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 9 inside KXF1TOP5-MONGP26.
Price history
56¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If Max Verstappen finishes in the top 5 in the main race originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Max Verstappen
Rank
#7 of 9
Leader
Charles Leclerc 69¢
Range
1¢-69¢
Family volume
$112
Identifier
KXF1TOP5-MONGP26-VER
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
53¢
Ask
56¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$28
Family rank
#7 of 9
9 outcomes · KXF1TOP5-MONGP26
Closes
Jun 21, 2026
Family volume
$112
Orderbook snapshot
53 / 56¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Max Verstappen finishes in the top 5 in the main race originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 21, 2026
Identifier
KXF1TOP5-MONGP26-VER
Event family
KXF1TOP5-MONGP26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$112
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Charles Leclerc 69¢
Current share
25%
Charles Leclerc
kalshi · KXF1TOP5-MONGP26-LEC
Oscar Piastri
kalshi · KXF1TOP5-MONGP26-PIA
Lewis Hamilton
kalshi · KXF1TOP5-MONGP26-HAM
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
kalshi · KXF1TOP5-MONGP26-ANT
George Russell
kalshi · KXF1TOP5-MONGP26-RUS
Lando Norris
kalshi · KXF1TOP5-MONGP26-NOR
Max Verstappen
kalshi · KXF1TOP5-MONGP26-VER
Isack Hadjar
kalshi · KXF1TOP5-MONGP26-HAD
Franco Colapinto
kalshi · KXF1TOP5-MONGP26-COL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 56% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.