SimpleFunctions

Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 80,000 Pure Album Sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere

Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 80,000 Pure Album Sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

2¢ current

26¢
0¢25¢
Apr 29, 2026May 7, 2026

Contract brief

If Middle of Nowhere by Kacey Musgraves has at least 80,000 Pure Album Sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 80,000 Pure Album Sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXALBUMSALES-MID-PURE-80000

May 25, 2026, 2:37 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

2¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 2:37 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

100¢

Spread

100¢

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

May 8, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 100¢

Kalshi
100¢ spread
No public depth snapshot is cached for this contract yet.

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Middle of Nowhere by Kacey Musgraves has at least 80,000 Pure Album Sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 8, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMSALES-MID-PURE-80000

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 80,000 Pure Album Sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere 2¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.