SimpleFunctions

Mississippi State · KXNCAASOFTBALL-26

Mississippi State is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 8 inside KXNCAASOFTBALL-26.

Price history

3¢ current

10¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Mississippi State are the 2026 College Softball World Series champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Mississippi State

Rank

#7 of 8

Leader

Texas Tech 24¢

Range

1¢-24¢

Family volume

$22K

Identifier

KXNCAASOFTBALL-26-MSST

May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

3¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$918

Family rank

#7 of 8

8 outcomes · KXNCAASOFTBALL-26

Closes

Jun 20, 2026

Family volume

$22K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 3¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
3¢406
9¢2.0K
86¢14
87¢53
88¢5.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Mississippi State are the 2026 College Softball World Series champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 20, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAASOFTBALL-26-MSST

SF Signal
SF Index
8257.02
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

16514.0%

IY (No)

161.5%

Adj IY

8257%

CRI

10

Overround

0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

16514.0%
161.5%
Adj IY
8257%
10
Overround
0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.