MTL wins 4-3 · KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26MTLCARECF
MTL wins 4-3 is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 6 inside KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26MTLCARECF.
Price history
16¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If the series score is Montreal Canadiens wins 4-3 in the Montreal Canadiens vs Carolina Hurricanes Eastern Conference Finals in the 2026 NHL Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
MTL wins 4-3
Rank
#5 of 6
Leader
CAR wins 4-2 28¢
Range
6¢-28¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26MTLCARECF-MTL43
May 24, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$56
Family rank
#5 of 6
6 outcomes · KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26MTLCARECF
Closes
Jun 18, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the series score is Montreal Canadiens wins 4-3 in the Montreal Canadiens vs Carolina Hurricanes Eastern Conference Finals in the 2026 NHL Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 18, 2026
Identifier
KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26MTLCARECF-MTL43
Event family
KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26MTLCARECF.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
CAR wins 4-2 28¢
Current share
1%
CAR wins 4-2
kalshi · KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26MTLCARECF-CAR42
CAR wins 4-3
kalshi · KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26MTLCARECF-CAR43
MTL wins 4-2
kalshi · KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26MTLCARECF-MTL42
CAR wins 4-1
kalshi · KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26MTLCARECF-CAR41
MTL wins 4-3
kalshi · KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26MTLCARECF-MTL43
MTL wins 4-1
kalshi · KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26MTLCARECF-MTL41
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.