126 billion · Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by June 30
126 billion is priced at 100¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 100¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by June 30?.
Price history
100¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
Outcome
126 billion
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
126 billion 100¢
Range
95¢-100¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
0xada697d0...7c45
May 28, 2026, 7:20 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
100¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
0¢
Reported volume
$568
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by June 30?
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
100 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0xada697d0…7c45
Event family
Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by June 30.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
126 billion 100¢
Current share
23%
126 billion
polymarket · 0xada697d0caa3d6b29470b56bab3d35b902df2bf06db744760f6131c211b97c45
127 billion
polymarket · 0x689a24ea74bae5e84c3d3be87856c4ca399b7af5de2563a50c8a6681eca754bd
128 billion
polymarket · 0x6f51fc8a277dd2aeea8368dc927d46015e2868865c1e9fa10d844a0ebbfd6820
129 billion
polymarket · 0x518301a471c1e86c7b11d8eea58be6936f57c6a7d5f8b7f0fbefa6c87f145d31
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket
Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 100% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.