SimpleFunctions

Nebraska · KXNCAABBREG-26LINC

Nebraska is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXNCAABBREG-26LINC.

Price history

45¢ current

+10¢
40¢50¢
May 26, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Nebraska is the 2026 College Baseball Lincoln Regional champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Nebraska

Rank

#1 of 4

Leader

Nebraska 43¢

Range

1¢-43¢

Family volume

$7K

Identifier

KXNCAABBREG-26LINC-NEC

May 28, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

45¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

43¢

Ask

44¢

Spread

24h volume

$1K

Family rank

#1 of 4

4 outcomes · KXNCAABBREG-26LINC

Closes

Jun 16, 2026

Family volume

$7K

Orderbook snapshot

43 / 44¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
43¢486
40¢20
38¢100
37¢1.0K
19¢1.4K
AskSize
44¢528
46¢684
47¢829
52¢295
59¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Nebraska is the 2026 College Baseball Lincoln Regional champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 16, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAABBREG-26LINC-NEC

SF Signal
SF Index
2437.66
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNCAABBREG-26LINC.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$7K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Nebraska 43¢

Current share

16%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2437.7%

IY (No)

1504.9%

Adj IY

2438%

CRI

1

RV

1803%

VR

2.98

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2437.7%
1504.9%
Adj IY
2438%
1
RV
1803%
VR
2.98
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.