June 30 · Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by
June 30 is priced at 24¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 18¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
24¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Outcome
June 30
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
0x5b87cd30...663d
May 26, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
30¢
Spread
12¢
24h volume
$257
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 30¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x5b87cd30…663d
Event family
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
June 30 24¢
Current share
100%
June 30
polymarket · 0x5b87cd302b5d6320376ebccf722121b7b30d1e6a2bbd40906ef9c1d3c89f663d
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.