Netherlands · KXWCGROUPQUAL-26F
Netherlands is priced at 93¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 91¢ bid, 93¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXWCGROUPQUAL-26F.
Price history
93¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If Netherlands is one of the teams to qualify from Group F for the Round of 32 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Netherlands
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Netherlands 91¢
Range
33¢-91¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26F-NED
May 30, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
91¢
Ask
93¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$404
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · KXWCGROUPQUAL-26F
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
91 / 93¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Netherlands is one of the teams to qualify from Group F for the Round of 32 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26F-NED
Event family
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26F.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Netherlands 91¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
Read 93% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.