Nick Offerman · KXEMMYNOMS-26-CSACTO
Nick Offerman is priced at 90¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 86¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 10 inside KXEMMYNOMS-26-CSACTO.
Price history
90¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Nick Offerman is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Comedy Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Nick Offerman
Rank
#4 of 10
Leader
Harrison Ford 95¢
Range
21¢-95¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXEMMYNOMS-26-CSACTO-NIC
Jun 7, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
86¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#4 of 10
10 outcomes · KXEMMYNOMS-26-CSACTO
Closes
Jul 8, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
86 / 94¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Nick Offerman is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Comedy Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 8, 2027
Identifier
KXEMMYNOMS-26-CSACTO-NIC
Event family
KXEMMYNOMS-26-CSACTO.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Harrison Ford 95¢
Current share
—
Harrison Ford
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-CSACTO-HAR
Paul W. Downs
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-CSACTO-PAU
Michael Urie
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-CSACTO-MIC
Nick Offerman
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-CSACTO-NIC
Ebon Moss-Bachrach
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-CSACTO-EBO
Tyler James Williams
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-CSACTO-TYL
Bowen Yang
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-CSACTO-BOW
Ben Kingsley
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-CSACTO-BEN
Andrew Scott
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-CSACTO-AND
Marcello Hernandez
kalshi · KXEMMYNOMS-26-CSACTO-MAR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.