Above 205M · Will nimino have
Above 205M is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 93¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside Will nimino have.
Price history
98¢ current
+87¢Contract brief
If nimino has Above 205M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 205M
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
Above 160M 98¢
Range
91¢-98¢
Family volume
$222
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-205.0M
May 24, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
93¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$321
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · Will nimino have
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Family volume
$222
Orderbook snapshot
93 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If nimino has Above 205M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-205.0M
Event family
Will nimino have.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$222
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 160M 98¢
Current share
0%
Above 160M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-160.0M
Above 165M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-165.0M
Above 175M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-175.0M
Above 180M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-180.0M
Above 170M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-170.0M
Above 195M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-195.0M
Above 215M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-215.0M
Above 185M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-185.0M
Above 200M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-200.0M
Above 210M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-210.0M
Above 205M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-205.0M
Above 190M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-190.0M
Above 220M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-220.0M
Above 225M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-225.0M
Above 235M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-235.0M
Above 230M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-230.0M
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.