SimpleFunctions

North Carolina State · KXNCAABBREG-26AUB

North Carolina State is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside KXNCAABBREG-26AUB.

Price history

16¢ current

+6¢
10¢20¢
May 26, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If North Carolina State is the 2026 College Baseball Auburn Regional champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

North Carolina State

Rank

#2 of 4

Leader

Auburn 72¢

Range

1¢-72¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXNCAABBREG-26AUB-NCS

May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

16¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

15¢

Ask

16¢

Spread

24h volume

$12

Family rank

#2 of 4

4 outcomes · KXNCAABBREG-26AUB

Closes

Jun 16, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

15 / 16¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
15¢1.4K
13¢300
12¢100
3¢48
2¢1.3K
AskSize
16¢2.4K
20¢500
49¢100
66¢16
67¢2.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If North Carolina State is the 2026 College Baseball Auburn Regional champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 16, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAABBREG-26AUB-NCS

SF Signal
SF Index
5681.30
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNCAABBREG-26AUB.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Auburn 72¢

Current share

1%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11362.6%

IY (No)

353.9%

Adj IY

5681%

CRI

6

Overround

0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

11362.6%
353.9%
Adj IY
5681%
6
Overround
0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.