SimpleFunctions

Oregon · KXNCAABBREG-26EUG

Oregon is priced at 57¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 56¢ bid, 57¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXNCAABBREG-26EUG.

Price history

57¢ current

+12¢
50¢60¢
May 26, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Oregon is the 2026 College Baseball Eugene Regional champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Oregon

Rank

#1 of 4

Leader

Oregon 56¢

Range

4¢-56¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXNCAABBREG-26EUG-ORE

May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

57¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

56¢

Ask

57¢

Spread

24h volume

$281

Family rank

#1 of 4

4 outcomes · KXNCAABBREG-26EUG

Closes

Jun 16, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

56 / 57¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
56¢1.6K
55¢940
54¢1.2K
51¢500
50¢500
AskSize
57¢1.6K
58¢600
60¢1.0K
65¢66
66¢629

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Oregon is the 2026 College Baseball Eugene Regional champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 16, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAABBREG-26EUG-ORE

SF Signal
SF Index
2552.03
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNCAABBREG-26EUG.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Oregon 56¢

Current share

10%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1575.5%

IY (No)

2552.0%

Adj IY

2552%

CRI

1

RV

243%

VR

0.56

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1575.5%
2552.0%
Adj IY
2552%
1
RV
243%
VR
0.56
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.