Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July is priced at 72¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 71¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
72¢ current
+25¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves PARIVISION's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of PARIVISION" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/12467/parivision#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Jame, BELCHONOKK, xiELO, nota, and zweih. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
0x868131aa...4fd2
May 26, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
71¢
Ask
72¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$120
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
71 / 72¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves PARIVISION's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of PARIVISION" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/12467/parivision#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Jame, BELCHONOKK, xiELO, nota, and zweih. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
0x868131aa…4fd2
Event family
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July 72¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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