Park Jae-ho to win 2026 Busan Mayoral Election
Park Jae-ho is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 12 inside 2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner.
Price history
0¢ current
−50¢Contract brief
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Outcome
Park Jae-ho
Rank
#3 of 12
Leader
Chun Jae-soo 80¢
Range
0¢-80¢
Family volume
$1.1M
Identifier
0xe3b7f338...ce00
May 28, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
Reported volume
$86K
Family rank
#3 of 12
12 outcomes · 2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner
Closes
Jun 3, 2026
Family volume
$1.1M
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 3, 2026
Identifier
0xe3b7f338…ce00
Event family
2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1.1M
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Chun Jae-soo 80¢
Current share
7%
Chun Jae-soo
polymarket · 0x3b7db2dbb3b47a6a532849ee3edd147d16fec311af4f40329f1ea8c45feb60b9
Park Heong-joon
polymarket · 0x3f099ddf210c1d32006f55fe2da00ee78ff10734b7786d8b34f281c4b9c426e0
Cho Kuk
polymarket · 0xa559c916013489605fa7e661fadb08193750535a47b309ce6ee140ea2a4c85d2
Suh Byung-soo
polymarket · 0xd47e8e70d2c25c8788eb0796a3a22c12b6cec77e7d8113c5fdaad84386cb7654
Choi In-ho
polymarket · 0xdf9dc9b5a8ea00ced019940380820dfe012dfd95543cf7a175c3178dd9912a9a
Park Jae-ho
polymarket · 0xe3b7f338805e6218cc48883337066d12600b37450ff67ecd867dd2380d75ce00
Kim Do-eup
polymarket · 0xc3b0c22c4402be0196dc2ed49dddd3adf3582c59ee518d5769e382de96e6e18f
Kim Young-choon
polymarket · 0x261f250248f0998ee2eae04d11d98e07d75b7146e308e20e3a4492b7e6291536
Lee Jae-sung
polymarket · 0x3b4de08b20883207252db734b0a859edcea085c3b6063f2c4c5258384f3cecf7
Park Seong-hoon
polymarket · 0x7159c9392022c0d7c2190a7a34f9f2c0bded82596f7c22f343c38929b764c252
Cho Kyoung-tae
polymarket · 0x8fe6708a0eb52edb74a042f9bfff14cdd8d14d5c2505bc625f060ec8d1f64f44
Hong Soon-heon
polymarket · 0x9a108beb3347ff75d7deefc2b61a42897275cf436282027e3e019f1bd1ae902a
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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SimpleFunctions context
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.