SimpleFunctions

Paul McCartney have above 6000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) on Luminate during May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026

Above 6K is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 10 inside Will Paul McCartney have above.

Price history

99¢ current

+15¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 29, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If The Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney has above 6K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 6K

Rank

#3 of 10

Leader

Above 3K 92¢

Range

65¢-92¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-BOY26JUN04-6K

May 26, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

99¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

88¢

Ask

99¢

Spread

11¢

Reported volume

$10

Family rank

#3 of 10

10 outcomes · Will Paul McCartney have above

Closes

Jun 7, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

88 / 99¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
88¢250
81¢64
8¢35
2¢48
AskSize
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If The Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney has above 6K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 7, 2026

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-BOY26JUN04-6K

SF Signal
SF Index
10856.05
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

403.7%

IY (No)

21712.1%

Adj IY

10856%

CRI

7

Overround

7.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

403.7%
21712.1%
Adj IY
10856%
7
Overround
7.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.