SimpleFunctions

Above 140M · Will Peggy Gou have

Above 140M is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 98¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside Will Peggy Gou have.

Price history

99¢ current

+88¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 12, 2026May 13, 2026

Contract brief

If Peggy Gou has Above 140M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 140M

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Above 145M 99¢

Range

52¢-99¢

Family volume

$607

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-140.0M

May 24, 2026, 4:52 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

99¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 4:52 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

98¢

Ask

99¢

Spread

24h volume

$25

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · Will Peggy Gou have

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Family volume

$607

Orderbook snapshot

98 / 99¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
98¢5.4K
AskSize
99¢409

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Peggy Gou has Above 140M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-PEGGYG26DEC31-140.0M

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.