Rei Tsuruya · KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30TSUGUR
Rei Tsuruya is priced at 69¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30TSUGUR.
Price history
69¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If Rei Tsuruya wins the Tsuruya vs Gurule professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Rei Tsuruya
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Rei Tsuruya 66¢
Range
30¢-66¢
Family volume
$476
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30TSUGUR-TSU
May 27, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
66¢
Ask
69¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$170
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30TSUGUR
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Family volume
$476
Orderbook snapshot
66 / 69¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Rei Tsuruya wins the Tsuruya vs Gurule professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30TSUGUR-TSU
Event family
KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30TSUGUR.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$476
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Rei Tsuruya 66¢
Current share
21%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
Read 69% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.