JD Vance: Republican, Marco Rubio: Republican · KXVANCERUBIORUN-28JAN
JD Vance: Republican, Marco Rubio: Republican is priced at 62¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 58¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
62¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
If JD Vance and Marco Rubio both announce presidential campaigns to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
JD Vance: Republican, Marco Rubio: Republican
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXVANCERUBIORUN-28JAN-REP
Jun 8, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
58¢
Ask
62¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$7K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
58 / 62¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If JD Vance and Marco Rubio both announce presidential campaigns to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Identifier
KXVANCERUBIORUN-28JAN-REP
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 13¢, +49¢ versus this page.
Event family
KXVANCERUBIORUN-28JAN.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
JD Vance: Republican, Marco Rubio: Republican 58¢
Current share
—
JD Vance: Republican, Marco Rubio: Republican
kalshi · KXVANCERUBIORUN-28JAN-REP
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.