SimpleFunctions

Saquon Barkley · KXNFLMVP-27

Saquon Barkley is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXNFLMVP-27.

Price history

1¢ current

0¢5¢
May 24, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Saquon Barkley wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Saquon Barkley

Rank

#11 of 16

Leader

Joe Burrow 10¢

Range

1¢-10¢

Family volume

$21K

Identifier

KXNFLMVP-27-SBAR

May 24, 2026, 5:52 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 5:52 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$3K

Family rank

#11 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLMVP-27

Closes

Feb 12, 2028

Family volume

$21K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
3¢252
5¢10
6¢250
7¢583
100¢142K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Saquon Barkley wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 12, 2028

Identifier

KXNFLMVP-27-SBAR

SF Signal
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.