Seth Numrich · KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX
Seth Numrich is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 97¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 9 inside KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX.
Price history
3¢ current
Contract brief
If Seth Numrich performs/ is announced as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Seth Numrich
Rank
#9 of 9
Leader
Boyd Holbrook 17¢
Range
3¢-17¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-SET
Jun 6, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
97¢
Reported volume
$25
Family rank
#9 of 9
9 outcomes · KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX
Closes
Jan 1, 2031
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Seth Numrich performs/ is announced as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2031
Identifier
KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-SET
Event family
KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Boyd Holbrook 17¢
Current share
—
Boyd Holbrook
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-BOY
John Hoogenakker
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-JOH
Albert Jones
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-ALB
Steven Yeun
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-STE
Wyatt Russell
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-WYA
Anthony Mackie
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-ANT
Chiwetel Ejiofor
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-CHI
Aaron Staton
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-AAR
Seth Numrich
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-SET
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.