Sophie Cunningham · KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11
Sophie Cunningham is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 13 inside KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11.
Price history
2¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If Sophie Cunningham is a Runway Model at The SI Swimsuit Runway Show during Swim Week 2026 in Miami at the W South Beach, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Sophie Cunningham
Rank
#12 of 13
Leader
Alix Earle 50¢
Range
1¢-50¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11-SOP
May 28, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#12 of 13
13 outcomes · KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11
Closes
Jun 11, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 3¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Sophie Cunningham is a Runway Model at The SI Swimsuit Runway Show during Swim Week 2026 in Miami at the W South Beach, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 11, 2026
Identifier
KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11-SOP
Event family
KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Alix Earle 50¢
Current share
69%
Alix Earle
kalshi · KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11-ALIX
Nina Agdal
kalshi · KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11-NIN
Ashtin Earle
kalshi · KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11-ASH
Ali Truwit
kalshi · KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11-ALI
Olandria Lashae Carthen
kalshi · KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11-OLA
Olivia Dunne
kalshi · KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11-OLI
Kristin Juszczyk
kalshi · KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11-KRI
Jilly Anais
kalshi · KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11-JIL
Jordan Chiles
kalshi · KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11-JOR
Brittany Mahomes
kalshi · KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11-BRI
Hilary Duff
kalshi · KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11-HIL
Sophie Cunningham
kalshi · KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11-SOP
Salma Hayek
kalshi · KXSIMIAMI-26JUN11-SAL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket
Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 2% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.