Sora Fukuda to win the Fukuda vs Matsuda
Sora Fukuda is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 52¢ bid, 55¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXITFMATCH-26MAY28FUKMAT.
Price history
53¢ current
+49¢Contract brief
If Sora Fukuda wins the Fukuda vs Matsuda professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Karuizawa Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Sora Fukuda
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Sora Fukuda 52¢
Range
43¢-52¢
Family volume
$9
Identifier
KXITFMATCH-26MAY28FUKMAT-FUK
May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
52¢
Ask
55¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$9
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXITFMATCH-26MAY28FUKMAT
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Family volume
$9
Orderbook snapshot
52 / 55¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Sora Fukuda wins the Fukuda vs Matsuda professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Karuizawa Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Identifier
KXITFMATCH-26MAY28FUKMAT-FUK
Event family
KXITFMATCH-26MAY28FUKMAT.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Sora Fukuda 52¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.