Stephon Castle · KXNBAPLAYOFFPTS-2650
Stephon Castle is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside KXNBAPLAYOFFPTS-2650.
Price history
15¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Stephon Castle records at least 50 points in any playoff game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Stephon Castle
Rank
#1 of 5
Leader
Stephon Castle 15¢
Range
5¢-15¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXNBAPLAYOFFPTS-2650-SCAS
May 28, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$4
Family rank
#1 of 5
5 outcomes · KXNBAPLAYOFFPTS-2650
Closes
Jul 7, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Stephon Castle records at least 50 points in any playoff game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 7, 2026
Identifier
KXNBAPLAYOFFPTS-2650-SCAS
Event family
KXNBAPLAYOFFPTS-2650.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Stephon Castle 15¢
Current share
0%
Stephon Castle
kalshi · KXNBAPLAYOFFPTS-2650-SCAS
Victor Wembanyama
kalshi · KXNBAPLAYOFFPTS-2650-VWEM
Karl-Anthony Towns
kalshi · KXNBAPLAYOFFPTS-2650-KTOW
Jalen Brunson
kalshi · KXNBAPLAYOFFPTS-2650-JBRU
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
kalshi · KXNBAPLAYOFFPTS-2650-SGIL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.