Steve Garcia · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14LOPGAR
Steve Garcia is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14LOPGAR.
Price history
37¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Steve Garcia wins the Lopes vs Garcia professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Steve Garcia
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Diego Lopes 62¢
Range
36¢-62¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14LOPGAR-GAR
May 27, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
36¢
Ask
37¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$258
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14LOPGAR
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
36 / 37¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Steve Garcia wins the Lopes vs Garcia professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14LOPGAR-GAR
Event family
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14LOPGAR.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Diego Lopes 62¢
Current share
25%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 37% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.