June 30, 2026 · Will Tempo launch a token by ___
June 30, 2026 is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 4 inside Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?.
Price history
1¢ current
−6¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tempo (https://tempo.xyz/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tempo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Outcome
June 30, 2026
Rank
#4 of 4
Leader
December 31, 2027 31¢
Range
1¢-31¢
Family volume
$566K
Identifier
0x23862cc3...78d0
May 27, 2026, 8:55 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
0¢
Reported volume
$214K
Family rank
#4 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$566K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tempo (https://tempo.xyz/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tempo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
0x23862cc3…78d0
Event family
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ .
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$566K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
December 31, 2027 31¢
Current share
38%
December 31, 2027
polymarket · 0xe0c29c75ad7ac76a490d8ef68b49be7f98c6ca3b2b13f0cbdfa0b3dd7bde7657
December 31, 2026
polymarket · 0x808cdb63088184c349f2ce52a8660ba0777db29ea165f7a58ef41253eda89fe8
September 30, 2026
polymarket · 0xe68a371989f1eae6480c35f3d98630a73dfd3b2ee6bf1f3e05313636aaa3c677
June 30, 2026
polymarket · 0x23862cc33d499e4f93c0fba6e64a4db04d4a83ac5f180458e3d13b97cb9c78d0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.