↓ $285 · What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026
↓ $285 is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 13 inside What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?.
Price history
0¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Outcome
↓ $285
Rank
#9 of 13
Leader
↑ $450 39¢
Range
0¢-39¢
Family volume
$206K
Identifier
0xe777d067...a7db
May 28, 2026, 8:04 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#9 of 13
13 outcomes · What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Family volume
$206K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
0xe777d067…a7db
Event family
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$206K
Outcomes
13
Highest price
↑ $450 39¢
Current share
1%
↑ $450
polymarket · 0x73c0d9bf5c00557e7df6a1103130b254a549042d199744c51182cc8fe4019f05
↑ $465
polymarket · 0x85b4261ae86d638eb3c91b112d852e3a23e3b2491120bb788a0c26ea2e9e9032
↑ $480
polymarket · 0xe8ce884fa32e568da10d1624933165be830bce50a3625531ccffe09ef20e780d
↓ $390
polymarket · 0x7fd713e79d1aadffe9c9982eddfcd2ec16666d3d3aeacd7f0fb5355dbe6e6c16
↓ $375
polymarket · 0x8ce17c1ccd83e0875670da6604d58a4cb7a32a106962739a95327026fa0e1a37
↓ $360
polymarket · 0xdac370f567734c8449a90d55241b58c78b3d05849b8d9151e1c0a298b214f751
↓ $345
polymarket · 0x4fb4e71b60e1c24855ea3321aa45774b28c4d84261bcf114779e43ffbb556b0f
↑ $495
polymarket · 0xf0a2ab140af12a5b584c749577a5c82d71033499441a51fd4d99f63f956bc681
↓ $330
polymarket · 0x74d1c90199c7df25270851313600615a1542c84ed119b3b178d7338cf54dc047
↓ $300
polymarket · 0x473faa5b3622fbf8b96557d01e735442ed44274e9b11b951b2eea18dd47c18b8
↓ $315
polymarket · 0x865050bea14c40a53de081954b55fe7d1c4bb3089097400a2619f27d39a86d55
↓ $285
polymarket · 0xe777d06761dd921bc087c014057c445c305f68a5e2e2652a7e26a2b8c85ea7db
↑ $510
polymarket · 0xb6b430a9ddac6aebaf6dc6d88e95d33ced0c1f3fb221723bddb61cfceea2d956
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.