#1 Show on Netflix have at least 18 million views
At least 18 million is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 11 inside Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least.
Price history
8¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If the #1 Show on Netflix has at least 18 million views on the chart published on Jun 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 18 million
Rank
#5 of 11
Leader
At least 6 million 97¢
Range
1¢-97¢
Family volume
$20K
Identifier
KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSTV-26JUN01-18
May 28, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#5 of 11
11 outcomes · Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Family volume
$20K
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 9¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the #1 Show on Netflix has at least 18 million views on the chart published on Jun 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Identifier
KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSTV-26JUN01-18
Event family
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$20K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
At least 6 million 97¢
Current share
6%
At least 6 million
kalshi · KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSTV-26JUN01-6
At least 9 million
kalshi · KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSTV-26JUN01-9
At least 12 million
kalshi · KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSTV-26JUN01-12
At least 15 million
kalshi · KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSTV-26JUN01-15
At least 18 million
kalshi · KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSTV-26JUN01-18
At least 21 million
kalshi · KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSTV-26JUN01-21
At least 25 million
kalshi · KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSTV-26JUN01-25
At least 30 million
kalshi · KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSTV-26JUN01-30
At least 35 million
kalshi · KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSTV-26JUN01-35
At least 40 million
kalshi · KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSTV-26JUN01-40
At least 50 million
kalshi · KXNETFLIXTOPVIEWSTV-26JUN01-50
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.