Above 4.9B · Will The Beatles have
Above 4.9B is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 97¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside Will The Beatles have.
Price history
98¢ current
+96¢Contract brief
If The Beatles has Above 4.9B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 4.9B
Rank
#13 of 16
Leader
Above 3.4B 99¢
Range
93¢-99¢
Family volume
$736
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-4.9B
May 24, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
97¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#13 of 16
16 outcomes · Will The Beatles have
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Family volume
$736
Orderbook snapshot
97 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If The Beatles has Above 4.9B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-4.9B
Event family
Will The Beatles have.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$736
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 3.4B 99¢
Current share
0%
Above 3.4B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-3.4B
Above 3.5B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-3.5B
Above 3.2B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-3.2B
Above 4.1B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-4.1B
Above 3.6B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-3.6B
Above 3.3B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-3.3B
Above 3.7B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-3.7B
Above 3.8B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-3.8B
Above 3.9B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-3.9B
Above 4B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-4.0B
Above 4.2B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-4.2B
Above 4.3B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-4.3B
Above 4.9B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-4.9B
Above 4.5B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-4.5B
Above 4.4B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-4.4B
Above 5B
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-BEATLES26DEC31-5.0B
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.