SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 8, 2026

Will the copper close price be above 6.02 USD/Lbs on May 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 15 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 86¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread.

Implied probability

86¢
$769 volume
$486 liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$769

Best sibling

Ticker

KXCOPPERW-26MAY0817-T6.02

Market snapshot

Will the copper close price be above 6.02 USD/Lbs on May 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the copper close price be above 6.02 USD/Lbs on May 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?. The displayed quote is 86¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $769. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 15, 2026, 2:44 PM UTC.

Outcome

Will the copper close price be above 6.02 USD/Lbs on May 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT

Family rank

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

86¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Past listed close May 8, 2026

Reported volume

$769

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 15, 2026, 2:44 PM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXCOPPERW-26MAY0817-T6.02. Family volume: $769.

Price history

86¢ current

+71¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 100¢

Kalshi
100¢ spread
No public depth snapshot is cached for this contract yet.

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for copperusing the CCK6 contract on May 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 6.02 USD/Lbs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 8, 2026

Identifier

KXCOPPERW-26MAY0817-T6.02

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$769

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will the copper close price be above 6.02 USD/Lbs on May 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT 86¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Volatility Arbitrage in Prediction Markets: Why Political Favorites Above 60¢ Are Systematically Underconfident

A binary contract at price p has variance p(1-p). Le 2026 (292M trades) finds political markets underconfident at slopes 0.93-1.83 — meaning a 70¢ contract corresponds to a true probability near 83%. Four systematic vol-arb trades follow from the calibration evidence.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogcrypto

How Bitcoin & Ethereum Crypto 2026 Price Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Next Leg of the Cycle

Deep-dive for crypto investors and traders into Bitcoin and Ethereum 2026 price prediction markets. Learn how BTC/ETH halving base rates, ETF flows, DeFi/L2 growth, and global regulation shape market-implied odds for 2026 price targets.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.