SimpleFunctions

67° to 68° · Will the high temp in LA

67° to 68° is priced at 74¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 72¢ bid, 73¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside Will the high temp in LA.

Price history

74¢ current

+40¢
50¢75¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for May 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 67-68°, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

67° to 68°

Rank

#1 of 6

Leader

67° to 68° 70¢

Range

1¢-70¢

Family volume

$79K

Identifier

KXHIGHLAX-26MAY28-B67.5

May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

74¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

72¢

Ask

73¢

Spread

24h volume

$10K

Family rank

#1 of 6

6 outcomes · Will the high temp in LA

Closes

May 29, 2026

Family volume

$79K

Orderbook snapshot

72 / 73¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
72¢17
71¢80
70¢4
69¢13
68¢20
AskSize
73¢4
74¢22
75¢766
78¢71
79¢40

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for May 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 67-68°, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 29, 2026

Identifier

KXHIGHLAX-26MAY28-B67.5

SF Signal
SF Index
97140.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the high temp in LA.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$79K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

67° to 68° 70¢

Current share

13%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

VR

0.32

IAR

2.2/h

Overround

-0.0%

LAS

0.03

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
VR
0.32
IAR
2.2/h
Overround
-0.0%
LAS
0.03

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.