68° to 69° · Will the high temp in LA
68° to 69° is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 41¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Will the high temp in LA.
Price history
43¢ current
+20¢Contract brief
If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for May 27, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 68-69°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
68° to 69°
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
66° to 67° 43¢
Range
1¢-43¢
Family volume
$35K
Identifier
KXHIGHLAX-26MAY27-B68.5
May 27, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
41¢
Ask
43¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$10K
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the high temp in LA
Closes
May 28, 2026
Family volume
$35K
Orderbook snapshot
41 / 43¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for May 27, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 68-69°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 28, 2026
Identifier
KXHIGHLAX-26MAY27-B68.5
Event family
Will the high temp in LA.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$35K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
66° to 67° 43¢
Current share
28%
66° to 67°
kalshi · KXHIGHLAX-26MAY27-B66.5
68° to 69°
kalshi · KXHIGHLAX-26MAY27-B68.5
64° to 65°
kalshi · KXHIGHLAX-26MAY27-B64.5
70° or above
kalshi · KXHIGHLAX-26MAY27-T69
62° to 63°
kalshi · KXHIGHLAX-26MAY27-B62.5
61° or below
kalshi · KXHIGHLAX-26MAY27-T62
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.