80° to 81° · Will the high temp in NYC
80° to 81° is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside Will the high temp in NYC.
Price history
14¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for May 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 80-81°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
80° to 81°
Rank
#3 of 6
Leader
78° to 79° 45¢
Range
1¢-45¢
Family volume
$7K
Identifier
KXHIGHNY-26MAY29-B80.5
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$889
Family rank
#3 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the high temp in NYC
Closes
May 30, 2026
Family volume
$7K
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for May 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 80-81°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 30, 2026
Identifier
KXHIGHNY-26MAY29-B80.5
Event family
Will the high temp in NYC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
78° to 79° 45¢
Current share
8%
78° to 79°
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY29-B78.5
77° or below
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY29-T78
80° to 81°
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY29-B80.5
84° to 85°
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY29-B84.5
82° to 83°
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY29-B82.5
86° or above
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY29-T85
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.