Lot sold price of the Danaë by Egon Schiele on Sotheby's above $18000000 during the live auction beginning June 24, 2026, 01:00 PM EDT
Above $18M is priced at 81¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 8 inside Will the lot sold price of the Danaë by Egon Schiele on Sotheby's be above $.
Price history
81¢ current
+58¢Contract brief
If the lot sold price of the Danaë by Egon Schiele on Sotheby's is above $18M during the live auction beginning June 24, 2026, 01:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $18M
Rank
#3 of 8
Leader
Above $14M 93¢
Range
11¢-93¢
Family volume
$431
Identifier
KXART-DAN26-18000000
May 28, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
73¢
Ask
80¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$331
Family rank
#3 of 8
8 outcomes · Will the lot sold price of the Danaë by Egon Schiele on Sotheby's be above $
Closes
Jun 25, 2026
Family volume
$431
Orderbook snapshot
73 / 80¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the lot sold price of the Danaë by Egon Schiele on Sotheby's is above $18M during the live auction beginning June 24, 2026, 01:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 25, 2026
Identifier
KXART-DAN26-18000000
Event family
Will the lot sold price of the Danaë by Egon Schiele on Sotheby's be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$431
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Above $14M 93¢
Current share
0%
Above $14M
kalshi · KXART-DAN26-14000000
Above $16M
kalshi · KXART-DAN26-16000000
Above $18M
kalshi · KXART-DAN26-18000000
Above $20M
kalshi · KXART-DAN26-20000000
Above $22M
kalshi · KXART-DAN26-22000000
Above $24M
kalshi · KXART-DAN26-24000000
Above $26M
kalshi · KXART-DAN26-26000000
Above $28M
kalshi · KXART-DAN26-28000000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 81% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.