Lot sold price of the Petite danseuse de quatorze ans by Edgar Degas on Sotheby's above $24000000 during the live auction beginning June 24, 2026, 01:00 PM EDT
Above $24M is priced at 89¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 89¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside Will the lot sold price of the Petite danseuse de quatorze ans by Edgar Degas on Sotheby's be above $.
Price history
89¢ current
+88¢Contract brief
If the lot sold price of the Petite danseuse de quatorze ans by Edgar Degas on Sotheby's is above $24M during the live auction beginning June 24, 2026, 01:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $24M
Rank
#1 of 6
Leader
Above $24M 89¢
Range
33¢-89¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXART-PETI26-24000000
May 26, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
89¢
Ask
90¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the lot sold price of the Petite danseuse de quatorze ans by Edgar Degas on Sotheby's be above $
Closes
Jun 25, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
89 / 90¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the lot sold price of the Petite danseuse de quatorze ans by Edgar Degas on Sotheby's is above $24M during the live auction beginning June 24, 2026, 01:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 25, 2026
Identifier
KXART-PETI26-24000000
Event family
Will the lot sold price of the Petite danseuse de quatorze ans by Edgar Degas on Sotheby's be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Above $24M 89¢
Current share
—
Above $24M
kalshi · KXART-PETI26-24000000
Above $26M
kalshi · KXART-PETI26-26000000
Above $28M
kalshi · KXART-PETI26-28000000
Above $30M
kalshi · KXART-PETI26-30000000
Above $32M
kalshi · KXART-PETI26-32000000
Above $34M
kalshi · KXART-PETI26-34000000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 89% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.